Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
45.93% ( 0.03) | 22.29% ( -0.01) | 31.78% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 66.37% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.17% ( 0) | 33.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.32% ( 0.01) | 55.68% ( -0.01) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% ( 0.01) | 15.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.9% ( 0.02) | 44.1% ( -0.03) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% ( -0.02) | 21.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% ( -0.02) | 54.7% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 68 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 49 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 47 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 45 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 37 |
10 | DC United | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Toronto | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 61 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 53 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 50 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 37 |
12 | St Louis City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 40 | 74 | -34 | 21 |