Major League Soccer

Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
2 - 1
Vancouver

Luna (73', 73'), Boehmer (83' og., 83' og.)
Brown (29'), Brown (29'), Katranis (33'), Katranis (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gauld (58', 58')
Picault (13'), Picault (13'), Blackmon (70'), Blackmon (70'), Adekugbe (72'), Adekugbe (72'), Ahmed (85'), Ahmed (85'), Berhalter (90+2'), Berhalter (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Salt Lake.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
59.77% ( 0.44)	20.35% ( -0.08)	19.88% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 60.62% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.12% (

-0.15)

35.88% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.03% (

-0.17)

57.96% (

0.16)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.25% (

0.07)

11.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.1% (

0.15)

36.89% (

-0.16)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

-0.43)

31.31% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

-0.5)

67.67% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 59.77%

Vancouver Whitecaps 19.88%

Draw 20.35%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 59.77%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 19.88%