Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 64.1% ( | 18.34% ( | 17.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.9% ( | 51.1% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.07% ( | 8.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.49% ( | 30.5% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( | 66.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 7.58% ( 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 4-1 @ 4.58% ( 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 4-2 @ 2.76% ( 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 5-2 @ 1.33% ( 4-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 4.35% Total : 64.1% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 17.56% |