Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.