Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Toronto |
| 60.08% ( | 21% ( | 18.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( | 40.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( | 62.83% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( | 13.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( | 39.69% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( | 34.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 5-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.92% |