Major League Soccer

Sep 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 2
Columbus Crew

Laryea (78'), Laryea (78'), Bernardeschi (79'), Bernardeschi (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Camilo Hernandez (51', 51'), Herrera (70', 70')
Jones (85'), Jones (85'), Matan (90'), Matan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Austin
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
36.76% ( -0.01)	23.63% ( 0)	39.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 62.81% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

-0.01)

39.1% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

-0.01)

61.42% (

0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

-0.01)

21.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

-0.01)

54.43% (

0.02)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

20.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

52.28% (

Score Analysis

Toronto 36.76%

Columbus Crew 39.6%

Draw 23.63%

Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.76%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.6%