Major League Soccer
Toronto
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Columbus Crew
  • Richie Laryea 78' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 78' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 79' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 79' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 51'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 51'
  • goal Marcelo Herrera 70'
  • goal Marcelo Herrera 70'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 85'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 85'
  • yellowcard Alexandru Matan 90'
  • yellowcard Alexandru Matan 90'

Toronto vs Columbus Crew - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati 0 - 0 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Juan Camilo Hernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result

Toronto 36.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 23.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Columbus Crew 39.6% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 61.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 21.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 78.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 79.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Toronto 36.76%
Draw 23.63%
Columbus Crew 39.6%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.63%
Columbus Crew
1-2 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.6%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lower.com Field
Toronto
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 15' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 15' goal
  • Christian Ramirez 52' goal
  • Christian Ramirez 52' goal
  • Darlington Nagbe 72' yellowcard
  • Darlington Nagbe 72' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Farsi 81' goal
  • Mohamed Farsi 81' goal
  • Diego Rossi 85' goal
  • Diego Rossi 85' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 67'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 67'
  • yellowcard Kobe Franklin 86'
  • yellowcard Kobe Franklin 86'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 90'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 90'
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lower.com Field
Toronto
  • Diego Rossi 21' goal
  • Diego Rossi 21' goal
  • Malte Amundsen 24' yellowcard
  • Malte Amundsen 24' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 88' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 89' goal
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 44'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 44'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
Columbus Crew
  • Deandre Kerr 24' goal
  • goal Jimmy Medranda 75'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Columbus Crew
  • Kosi Thompson 37' yellowcard
  • Jesus Jimenez 54' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 66' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Zawadzki 18'
  • goal Darlington Nagbe 30'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 66'
  • yellowcard James Igbekeme 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Toronto
  • Jonathan Mensah 29' yellowcard
  • Lucas Zelarayan 56' goal
  • Derrick Etienne 65' goal
  • Luis Diaz Espinoza 82' yellowcard
  • Artur 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Jimenez 14'
  • yellowcard Jayden Nelson 64'
  • yellowcard Ralph Priso-Mbongue 79'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Columbus Crew
May 29, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Toronto
  • Luis Diaz Espinoza 12' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 22' goal
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 52'

Form Data

Toronto 2 - 1 Austin
Toronto 1 - 3 DC United
Houston 0 - 1 Toronto
Inter Miami 4 - 3 Toronto
Pachuca 1 - 2 Toronto
NY Red Bulls 0 - 0 Toronto
Cincinnati 0 - 0 Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew 0 - 4 Seattle
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 NY City
Philadelphia 0 - 1 Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew 3 - 1 Los Angeles
Columbus Crew 3 - 1 Philadelphia