Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 39.55% ( | 23.37% ( | 37.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( | 37.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( | 60% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( | 19.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( | 51.38% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( | 20.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( | 53.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 37.08% |