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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
FC Cincinnati

Minnesota Utd
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Yeboah (54' pen., 54' pen.)
Pereyra (15'), Pereyra (15')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Kubo (34', 34'), Orellano (45+1', 45+1')
Yedlin (16'), Yedlin (16'), Murphy (68'), Murphy (68'), Bucha (73'), Bucha (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
39.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.37% (0.013000000000002 0.01)37.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.86% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)37.75% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)60% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)19.5% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)51.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)20.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)53.25% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 39.55%
    FC Cincinnati 37.08%
    Draw 23.36%
Minnesota UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Cincinnati

Minnesota United
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
Oct 4, 2020 1am
Gameweek 14
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Cincinnati
Kamara (16' pen.), Molino (69')
Gasper (50'), Lod (76')

Deplagne (15'), Cruz (47')
Sep 27, 2020 12.30am
Jun 29, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 21
Minnesota Utd
7-1
Cincinnati
Opara (18', 70'), Dotson (23'), Finlay (30'), Rodriguez (43'), Toye (76'), Molino (87')
Ibarra (54'), Rodriguez (59'), Finlay (79')
Ledesma (56')
Hoyte (73')