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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Montreal Impact

Cincinnati
4 - 1
Montreal

Kelsy (36', 36'), Orellano (53', 53', 57', 57'), Santos (71', 71')
Robinson (22'), Robinson (22'), Murphy (40'), Murphy (40'), Valenzuela (90+8'), Valenzuela (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Opoku (81', 81')
Waterman (47'), Waterman (47'), Corbo (86'), Corbo (86'), Alvarez (90+6'), Alvarez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-5 New England
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
66.06% (1.264 1.26)18.47% (-0.276 -0.28)15.46% (-0.992 -0.99)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-1.42 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.724 -0.72)34.82% (0.72000000000001 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.814 -0.81)56.79% (0.809 0.81)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17% (0.098000000000013 0.1)9.83% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.37% (0.236 0.24)32.62% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (-1.649 -1.65)35.47% (1.643 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76% (-1.747 -1.75)72.24% (1.744 1.74)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 66.06%
    CF Montreal 15.46%
    Draw 18.47%
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.422 0.42)
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.26% (0.358 0.36)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.21% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.113 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 66.06%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Montreal

FC Cincinnati
94.7%
Draw
0.0%
CF Montreal
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
Cincinnati
Martinez (45+4'), Lassiter (62')
Waterman (29'), Piette (34'), Edwards (38')
Kubo (58')
Orellano (18'), Yedlin (21'), Murphy (66')
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
1-1
Cincinnati
Opoku (53')
Wanyama (34'), Sirois (90+5'), Offor (90+2')
Acosta (90+7' pen.)
Miazga (90'), Arias (90+2')
> Preview
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
Montreal
Waterman (2' og.), Acosta (26'), Vazquez (65')
Nwobodo (34')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-3
Cincinnati
Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
> Preview
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