MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 13:53:54| >> :60:751:751:
Los Angeles FC
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Los Angeles
1 - 0
Vancouver

Bogusz (62')
Hollingshead (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gauld (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 Los Angeles
Monday, November 4 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 Los Angeles
Monday, November 4 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps (Los Angeles FC win series 2-1)

LA have been in so many must-win encounters over the past two years, and we expect them to correct the mistakes from game two and prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
70.05% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 17% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 12.95% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.72% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.55% (0.10600000000001 0.11)33.45% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.76% (0.121 0.12)55.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)8.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.42% (-0.012 -0.01)29.58% (0.012 0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (0.236 0.24)37.97% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.229 0.23)74.74% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 70.05%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 12.95%
    Draw 17%
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.007 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.05%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17%
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 12.95%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Vancouver

Los Angeles FC
82.9%
Draw
5.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2024 1.45am
MLS Cup Round One
Vancouver
3-0
Los Angeles
Gauld (10'), Hollingshead (13' og.), Segura (68' og.)
Ahmed (50'), Berhalter (57')

Bouanga (41'), Murillo (84'), Segura (89')
Oct 28, 2024 1.45am
MLS Cup Round One
Los Angeles
2-1
Vancouver
Bouanga (30' pen.), Olivera (57')
Long (58'), Hollingshead (58')
Gauld (90+5')
Laborda (73'), Veselinovic (90')
Oct 14, 2024 12.30am
Jul 31, 2024 3.30am
Group Stage
Los Angeles
2-2
Vancouver
(Aggregate 2-2 | Los Angeles win 0-0 on penalties)
Kamara (88'), Bogusz (90+5')
Olivera (80'), Martinez (90')
Berhalter (5'), Veselinovic (17')
Ahmed (13'), Halbouni (53'), Berhalter (90+1')
May 12, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-0
Vancouver
Olivera (18', 36'), Bogusz (57')
Bogusz (45+2')

White (21')
rhs 2.0
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