Los Angeles FC
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 28, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Vancouver

Bouanga (30' pen.), Olivera (57')
Long (58'), Hollingshead (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gauld (90+5')
Laborda (73'), Veselinovic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 3-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
70.08% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.71% (-0.038 -0.04)13.2% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.65% (0.32300000000001 0.32)31.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.2% (0.38200000000001 0.38)52.79% (-0.39 -0.39)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98% (0.071999999999989 0.07)8.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (0.193 0.19)28.24% (-0.2 -0.2)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (0.29499999999999 0.29)36.19% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (0.3 0.3)72.97% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 70.08%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 13.2%
    Draw 16.71%
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 70.08%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.71%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.2%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2024 12.30am
Jul 31, 2024 3.30am
Group Stage
Los Angeles
2-2
Vancouver
(Aggregate 2-2 | Los Angeles win 0-0 on penalties)
Kamara (88'), Bogusz (90+5')
Olivera (80'), Martinez (90')
Berhalter (5'), Veselinovic (17')
Ahmed (13'), Halbouni (53'), Berhalter (90+1')
May 12, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-0
Vancouver
Olivera (18', 36'), Bogusz (57')
Bogusz (45+2')

White (21')
Nov 10, 2023 3am
Nov 6, 2023 12.30am
Vancouver
0-1
Los Angeles

Veselinovic (22'), Adekugbe (90+4'), Blackmon (90+4'), Schopf (90+1')
Sartini (90+5')
Bouanga (24' pen.)
Gonzalez (40'), Olivera (83')
rhs 2.0


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