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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Bouanga (64', 64'), Atuesta (75', 75'), Santos (90+1', 90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yueill (9', 9')
Rodrigues (31'), Rodrigues (31'), Akapo (53'), Akapo (53'), Verhoeven (85'), Verhoeven (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 7.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
80.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12% (0.028 0.03)7.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.475 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.87% (-0.402 -0.4)26.12% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.63% (-0.515 -0.52)46.37% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.07% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)4.92% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.25% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)19.75% (0.217 0.22)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.68% (-0.457 -0.46)43.31% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.44% (-0.382 -0.38)79.55% (0.37899999999999 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 80.73%
    San Jose Earthquakes 7.27%
    Draw 12%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
3-0 @ 9.7% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 8.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 6.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-1 @ 3.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
7-0 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 80.73%
1-1 @ 5.37% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.13% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12%
1-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 7.27%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles
4-1
Earthquakes
Olivera (17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 66'), Bogusz (61')
Lopez (41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50')
> Preview
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
6-2
Earthquakes
Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')
> Preview
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-1
Earthquakes
Espinoza (30')
Mensah (22'), Gonzalez (23'), Gruezo (27'), Marcinkowski (90+2')
Brito (56')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Earthquakes
Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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