Major League Soccer

Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Martinez (51', 51', 55', 55'), Clark (72', 72')
Edwards (52'), Marshall-Rutty (52'), Gruezo (60'), Edwards (60'), Pearce (90+1'), Pearce (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yueill (66'), Gruezo (66'), Morales (86'), Yueill (86'), Pearce (90+1'), Morales (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
51.34% ( 0.03)	22.18% ( -0.01)	26.48% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.84% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.16% (

0.03)

36.84% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.98% (

0.03)

59.02% (

-0.03)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

0.02)

14.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.32% (

0.04)

42.67% (

-0.04)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

26.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

61.6%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 51.34%

San Jose Earthquakes 26.48%

Draw 22.18%

CF Montreal	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 4.31% Total : 51.34%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.48%