Major League Soccer

Sep 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Martinez (21', 21'), Clark (74', 74')
Campbell (40'), Campbell (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Nashville 1-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Chicago Fire
45.36% ( 0.98)	23.98% ( 0.33)	30.66% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 59.55% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

-2.15)

42.54% (

2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

-2.19)

64.94% (

2.19)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

-0.46)

18.96% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

-0.77)

50.49% (

0.78)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49% (

-1.86)

26.51% (

1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.29% (

-2.54)

61.71% (

2.55)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 45.36%

Chicago Fire 30.66%

Draw 23.97%

CF Montreal	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.33% Total : 45.36%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.66%