Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Barlow (31', 31'), Koutsias (75', 75')
Mueller (16'), Mueller (16'), Lassiter (57'), Lassiter (57'), Haile-Selassie (87'), Haile-Selassie (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gjengaar (47', 47')
Vanzeir (90+7'), Vanzeir (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, September 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New York Red Bulls
38.54% ( -0.02)	25.08% ( -0)	36.38% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95% (

0.02)

46.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.64% (

0.01)

68.35% (

-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0)

23.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0)

57.71%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

0.02)

24.79% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

0.02)

59.36% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 38.54%

New York Red Bulls 36.38%

Draw 25.07%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.54%	1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.38%