Major League Soccer

Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Dallas

Lopez (13', 13', 79', 79'), Ebobisse (83', 83')
Marie (36'), Marie (36'), Arriola (74'), Gruezo (74')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Velasco (41', 41'), Ibeagha (90', 90')
Burgess (15'), Burgess (15'), Velasco (55'), Velasco (55'), Ibeagha (60'), Ibeagha (60'), Gruezo (74'), Arriola (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Dallas
48.05% ( 0.14)	23.57% ( 0.11)	28.38% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 59.47% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.01% (

-0.65)

41.99% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.61% (

-0.66)

64.39% (

0.66)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.19)

17.67% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7% (

-0.34)

48.3% (

0.34)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-0.5)

27.76% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

-0.65)

63.34% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 48.05%

Dallas 28.38%

Draw 23.57%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.8% Total : 48.05%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.38%