Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Orlando City |
| 42.7% ( | 23.51% | 33.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( | 61.41% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% | 18.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% | 50.02% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( | 56.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.53% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-1 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.79% |