Major League Soccer

Sep 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
4 - 3
Orlando City

Rossi (30', 30'), Ramirez (51', 51'), Camilo Hernandez (71', 71'), Jackson (85', 85')
Matan (44'), Matan (44'), Yeboah (77'), Yeboah (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Enrique (75', 75'), Muriel (78' pen., 78' pen., 90+7', 90+7')
Smith (81'), Smith (81'), Angulo (89'), Angulo (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Thursday, September 19 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Orlando City
53.14% ( -0.45)	22.22% ( 0.15)	24.64% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 60.73% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.22% (

-0.38)

38.77% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.92% (

-0.4)

61.08% (

0.4)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

-0.28)

14.68% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

-0.54)

42.84% (

0.54)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

0.03)

28.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32% (

0.04)

64.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 53.14%

Orlando City 24.64%

Draw 22.21%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.14%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.64%