Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Deportivo Saprissa had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Deportivo Saprissa win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.