CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 12, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 0
Forge

Berterame (19', 19', 58', 58'), Cortizo (48', 48')
Deossa (31'), Deossa (31'), Medina (81'), Medina (81'), Rodriguez (83'), Rodriguez (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Borges (18'), Borges (18'), Choiniere (70'), Choiniere (70'), Choiniere (71'), Choiniere (71')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Monterrey and Forge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Juarez 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, February 9 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forge

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Forge 0-2 Monterrey
Thursday, February 6 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Forge had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Forge win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Forge
67.02% ( -0.58)	18.57% ( 0.26)	14.4% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

-0.49)

37.67% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

-0.53)

59.91% (

0.53)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.62% (

-0.28)

10.38% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.11% (

-0.64)

33.89% (

0.64)

Forge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32% (

0.14)

38.68% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58% (

0.13)

75.42% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 67.02%

Forge 14.4%

Draw 18.57%

Monterrey	Draw	Forge
2-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 67.02%	1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.57%	1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.4%