CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 1
Forge

Gutierrez (8', 8'), Castillo (62', 62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tavernier (90+3', 90+3')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between CD Guadalajara and Forge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forge 1-3 Guadalajara
Thursday, February 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forge had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Forge win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawForge
52.29% (-1.635 -1.64)24.24% (0.421 0.42)23.46% (1.215 1.22)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (-0.498 -0.5)48.98% (0.499 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (-0.452 -0.45)71.06% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.809 -0.81)18.7% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-1.374 -1.37)50.05% (1.377 1.38)
Forge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.852 0.85)35.38% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (0.871 0.87)72.14% (-0.86999999999999 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 52.29%
    Forge 23.46%
    Draw 24.24%
CD GuadalajaraDrawForge
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.293 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.238 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.231 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 23.46%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
Forge
1-3
Guadalajara
Campbell (31')
Tavernier (82')
Cowell (26', 62'), Marin (45+1')
Sanchez (56')