CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 6, 2025 at 1am UK
Tim Hortons Field

Forge
0 - 2
Monterrey

FT(HT: 0-0)
Deossa (53', 53'), Cortizo (66', 66')
Chavez (81'), Chavez (81'), Isaac Soto Garza (89'), Isaac Soto Garza (89')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Forge and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forge

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Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Forge
Wednesday, February 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, February 2 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Forge had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Forge win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
ForgeDrawMonterrey
25.48% (-0.423 -0.42)25.19% (-0.202 -0.2)49.33% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.487 0.49)51.12% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.425 0.42)72.97% (-0.42200000000001 -0.42)
Forge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)34.79% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)71.52% (0.101 0.1)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.46599999999999 0.47)20.74% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.725 0.73)53.37% (-0.721 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Forge 25.48%
    Monterrey 49.33%
    Draw 25.19%
ForgeDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 11.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.93% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.33%

rhs 2.0


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