Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.