Liga MX | Gameweek 8

Feb 22, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 1
Mazatlan

Paradela (30', 30'), Montes (69', 69'), Cambindo (90+4', 90+4')
Rodriguez (80'), Rodriguez (80')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sierra (42', 42')
Benedetti (45+9'), Benedetti (45+9'), Intriago (74'), Intriago (74'), Duarte (90+1'), Duarte (90+1')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Atlas 0-4 Necaxa
Wednesday, February 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, February 15 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Mazatlan
42.26% ( -0.51)	27.66% ( 0.06)	30.08% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.98% (

-0.05)

58.02% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

-0.04)

78.7% (

0.04)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88% (

-0.29)

27.12% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.49% (

-0.39)

62.5% (

0.39)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18% (

0.31)

34.82% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.45% (

0.33)

71.55% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 42.26%

Mazatlan 30.08%

Draw 27.65%

Necaxa	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.26%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.08%