Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.