Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Mar 17, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
1 - 3
Monterrey

Martinez (90' pen., 90' pen.)
Pussetto (52'), Pussetto (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Canales (49' pen., 49' pen.), Jareth Fimbres Ochoa (54', 54'), Berterame (71', 71')
Aguirre (21'), Aguirre (21'), Ocampos (42'), Ocampos (42')
Ramos (90+2'), Ramos (90+2')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Alajuelense 1-1 Pumas
Friday, March 14 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Monterrey

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Monterrey 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, March 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Monterrey
38.43% ( -1.27)	26.59% ( 0.02)	34.97% ( 1.25)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

0.09)

52.79% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58% (

0.07)

74.41% (

-0.08)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-0.66)

26.77% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

-0.88)

62.05% (

0.88)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

0.83)

28.8% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

1.03)

64.65% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

Pumas 38.43%

Monterrey 34.97%

Draw 26.59%

Pumas	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.43%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.97%