CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 14, 2025 at 2am UK

Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto

Alajuelense
1 - 1
Pumas

(Pumas win 3-1 on aggregate)

Campos (39', 39')
Lucumi (80'), Lucumi (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Suarez (73', 73')
Avila (69'), Avila (69'), Duarte (76'), Duarte (76')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Alajuelense and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alajuelense

Last Game: Pumas 2-0 Alajuelense
Wednesday, March 5 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Pumas

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Puebla 1-3 Pumas
Saturday, March 8 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alajuelense win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alajuelense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Alajuelense	Draw	Pumas
43.07% ( 0.04)	26.07% ( -0.13)	30.86% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.63% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

0.59)

51.62% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

0.51)

73.41% (

-0.51)

Alajuelense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

0.28)

23.81% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.03% (

0.4)

57.97% (

-0.4)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

0.37)

30.93% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.43)

67.22% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Alajuelense 43.06%

Pumas 30.86%

Draw 26.07%

Alajuelense	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 30.86%