Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Leon in this match.