Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.