Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Mar 29, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
2 - 0
Puebla

Torres (21'), Madson (60')
Madson (39'), Mosquera (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gularte (64')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 16 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 0-3 Toluca
Saturday, March 15 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawPuebla
46.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.87% (-0.012 -0.01)56.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)77.19% (0.012 0.01)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.012 0.01)23.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.013999999999996 0.01)58.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.71% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)73.5% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 46.91%
    Puebla 26.42%
    Draw 26.66%
JuarezDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.91%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.42%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 1am
Gameweek 10
Puebla
2-3
Juarez
Quinones (47' pen., 90+8')
Gonzalez (29'), Ferrareis (37'), Angulo (66'), Herrera Rodriguez (86')
Torres (40'), Garcia (68'), Estupinan (90+5' pen.)
Estupinan (34'), Torres (46')
Mar 24, 2024 1am
Gameweek 7
Juarez
4-3
Puebla
Edson (45'), Garcia (52', 62'), Zaldivar (84')
Orquin (26')
Cavallini (15'), Ormeno (66'), Sansores (90')
Aug 26, 2023 2am
Gameweek 6
Puebla
1-0
Juarez
De Buen (20')
Velasco (14'), Barragan (59'), Ivan Rodriguez (88'), de Buen (90+8')

Saucedo (33'), Hurtado (57'), Mosquera (61'), Garcia (86')
Apr 1, 2023 4am
Gameweek 13
Juarez
0-2
Puebla
Barragan (70' pen.), Mancuello (90+8')
Aug 27, 2022 1am
Gameweek 11
Puebla
2-2
Juarez
Ferrareis (59'), Moreno (61'), Reyes (88')
Fernandez (15'), Duenas (32')