Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 8, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
1 - 0
Juarez

Macias (48', 48')
Abitia (89'), Abitia (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (27'), Gonzalez (27'), Mosquera (46'), Mosquera (46'), Torres (90+5'), Torres (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, March 3 at 12am in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Pachuca
Saturday, March 1 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawJuarez
45.94% (-0.254 -0.25)24.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.99% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 58.84% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (0.24 0.24)43.3% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (0.23699999999999 0.24)65.7% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)50.6% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.304 0.3)27.33% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.393 0.39)62.78% (-0.394 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 45.94%
    Juarez 29.99%
    Draw 24.07%
Atletico San LuisDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.94%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.99%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2024 12.06am
Gameweek 14
Juarez
2-4
Atletico San Luis
Estupinan (59', 74')
Abella (90+4')
Salles-Lamonge (2', 36'), Klimowicz (45'), Phillipe (84')
Chavez (76')
Apr 8, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico San Luis
2-3
Juarez
David Castro (7'), Moreno (25')
Guemez (60')
Castro (15', 45+5'), Hurtado (81')
Castro (20'), Orquin (28'), Vukcevic (73'), Edson (80')
Oct 26, 2023 4.06am
Gameweek 11
Juarez
3-2
Atletico San Luis
Chavez (12'), Garcia (35'), Hurtado (51')
Santos (36'), Saucedo (39'), Pelua (70')
Vitinho (62'), Manuel Sanabria (70')
Guemez (14'), Murillo (54'), Dourado (82'), Garcia (86')
Guemez (73')
Apr 14, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 15
Atletico San Luis
2-0
Juarez
Bilbao (45+1'), Vitinho (63')
Aug 4, 2022 2am
Gameweek 16
Juarez
1-1
Atletico San Luis