Liga MX Gameweek 15
Atlas
Apr 13, 2025 2.05am
2
3
HT : 4 4
FT Estadio Jalisco
Toluca
  • Aldo Rocha 23' yellowcard
  • Aldo Rocha 23' yellowcard
  • Doria 24' yellowcard
  • Doria 24' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Aguirre 30' goal
  • Eduardo Aguirre 30' goal
  • Eduardo Aguirre 45'+1' goal
  • Eduardo Aguirre 45'+1' goal
  • Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Hugo Nervo 55' yellowcard
  • Hugo Nervo 55' yellowcard
  • Gaddi Aguirre 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Gaddi Aguirre 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 15'
  • goal Paulinho 15'
  • goal Paulinho 24'
  • goal Paulinho 24'
  • yellowcard Bruno Mendez 29'
  • yellowcard Bruno Mendez 29'
  • yellowcard Jesus Angulo 39'
  • yellowcard Jesus Angulo 39'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 40'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 40'
  • goal Paulinho 77'
  • goal Paulinho 77'

Atlas vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 12.00am
Atlas 1 - 1 Juarez
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Uros Durdevic

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2025 1.00am
Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Atlas win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Atlas 28.18% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 24.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Toluca 47.78% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 33.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 66.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.92% ▲ (+0.08)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5 70.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.96% ▼ (-0.05)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 81.35% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 18.65% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 50.04% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 49.96% ▲ (+0.20)

Score analysis

Atlas 28.19%
Draw 24.03%
Toluca 47.78%
Atlas
2-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.03%
Toluca
1-2 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 47.78%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 10
Toluca
Sep 29, 2024 12.00am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Atlas
  • Paulinho 33' goal
  • Paulinho 33' goal
  • Helinho 40' goal
  • Helinho 40' goal
  • Isaias Violante 54' goal
  • Isaias Violante 54' goal
  • Isaias Violante 61' goal
  • Isaias Violante 61' goal
  • Brian Garcia 62' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 62' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 84' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 84' yellowcard
  • goal Aldo Rocha 78'
  • goal Aldo Rocha 78'
  • yellowcard Hugo Nervo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Hugo Nervo 90'+3'
  • redcard Uros Durdevic 90'+9'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Toluca
Apr 7, 2024 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Atlas
  • Federico Pereira 5' goal
  • Alexis Vega 35' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 67' goal
  • Juan Zapata 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Edgar Lopez 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Marquez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jhon Murillo 77'
  • yellowcard Jhon Murillo 85'
  • goal Jose Lozano 87'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Atlas
Aug 27, 2023 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jalisco
Toluca
  • Aldo Rocha 27' yellowcard
  • Aldo Rocha 27' yellowcard
  • Brian Lozano 59' yellowcard
  • Brian Lozano 60' yellowcard
  • Juan Zapata 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Juan Zapata 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Mora 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mora 45'+8'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Atlas
Feb 2, 2023 2.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jalisco
Toluca
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Toluca
Jul 10, 2022 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Atlas
  • Leonardo Fernandez 3' goal
  • Fernando Navarro 10' goal
  • Valber Huerta 15' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 72' redcard
  • Jean Meneses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Nervo 39'
  • yellowcard Edgar Zaldivar 41'
  • goal Jesus Ocejo 43'
  • yellowcard Anibal Chala 59'
  • yellowcard Anderson Santamaria 65'
  • goal Aldo Rocha 84'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Toluca
Apr 24, 2022 6.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Atlas
  • Valber Huerta 4' goal
  • Oscar Vanegas 45' yellowcard
  • Ian Gonzalez 45' yellowcard
  • Oscar Vanegas 57' redcard
  • Isaias Violante 89' goal
  • goal Aldo Rocha 8'
  • goal Julian Quinones 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Julian Quinones 45'+2'
  • goal Julio Furch 58'
  • yellowcard Luis Reyes 60'
  • yellowcard Anderson Santamaria 72'
  • yellowcard Edgar Zaldivar 82'
  • yellowcard Angel Marquez 90'+2'
  • goal Julian Quinones 90'+7'

Form Data

Atlas 1 - 1 Juarez
Mazatlan 3 - 2 Atlas
Atlas 1 - 3 America
Tijuana 3 - 4 Atlas
Atlas 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Atlas
Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna
Toluca 3 - 2 Pachuca
Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca
Toluca 5 - 2 Necaxa
America 3 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro