Liga MX Gameweek 14
Toluca
Apr 7, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Santos Laguna
  • Paulinho 39' goal
  • Paulinho 39' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+2' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+2' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 55' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 84' goal
  • Isaias Violante 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Isaias Violante 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
  • yellowcard Jordan Carrillo 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Carrillo 55'
  • goal Javier Guemez 66'
  • goal Javier Guemez 66'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 89'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 89'

Toluca vs Santos Laguna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 11.00pm
Toluca 3 - 2 Pachuca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last game
Mar 31, 2025 12.00am
Santos Laguna 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Bruno Barticciotto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 78.55%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 78.55% ▲ (+1.46)
Draw 13.42% ▼ (-0.51)
Santos Laguna 8.02% ▼ (-0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.35% ▼ (-2.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.12% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 2.5 30.87% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 3.5 47.76% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 3.5 52.24% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 4.5 28.71% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 4.5 71.29% ▲ (+1.07)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 93.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 6.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 76.43% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 23.57% ▼ (-0.17)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5 54.77% ▼ (-2.86)
Under 0.5 45.23% ▲ (+2.86)
Over 1.5 18.88% ▼ (-2.37)
Under 1.5 81.12% ▲ (+2.36)

Score analysis

Toluca 78.54%
Draw 13.43%
Santos Laguna 8.02%
Toluca
2-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.67)
3-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.64)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.11)
1-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.45)
4-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.47)
4-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.31)
5-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.21)
6-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.14)
6-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 78.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.35)
0-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.43%
Santos Laguna
1-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.26)
0-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 8.02%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 9
Santos Laguna
Sep 23, 2024 2.05am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
Toluca
  • Santiago Nunez 35' yellowcard
  • Santiago Nunez 35' yellowcard
  • Fran Villalba 45' goal
  • Fran Villalba 45' goal
  • Emmanuel Echeverria 60' goal
  • Emmanuel Echeverria 60' goal
  • Anderson Santamaria 64' yellowcard
  • Anderson Santamaria 64' yellowcard
  • Aldo Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Aldo Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Carlos Acevedo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Toluca
Feb 22, 2024 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Santos Laguna
  • Marcel Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 38' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 38' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Tiago Volpi 75' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 76' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Amione 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bruno Amione 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Santos Laguna
Nov 6, 2023 12.05am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
Toluca
  • Felix Torres 35' goal
  • Felix Torres 35' goal
  • Diego Medina 60' goal
  • Diego Medina 60' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 63' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 63' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 72' yellowcard
  • Juan Brunetta 72' yellowcard
  • Carlos Acevedo 78' yellowcard
  • Carlos Acevedo 78' yellowcard
  • Omar Campos 90' yellowcard
  • Omar Campos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Pinuelas 34'
  • yellowcard Jesus Pinuelas 34'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 64'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 64'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 80'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 80'
  • goal Tomas Belmonte 90'+3'
  • goal Tomas Belmonte 90'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Santos Laguna
Feb 24, 2023 2.05am
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
Toluca
  • goal Brian Garcia 17'
  • goal Brian Garcia 36'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 58'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 81'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 88'
Liga MX
Santos Laguna
Oct 17, 2022 1.06am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
Toluca
  • Fernando Gorriaran 90'+7' goal
  • goal Jean Meneses 47'
  • goal Andres Mosquera 50'
Liga MX
Toluca
Oct 14, 2022 1.06am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
Santos Laguna
  • Carlos Gonzalez 4' goal
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 6' goal
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 73' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 90'+2' goal
  • goal Fernando Gorriaran 30'
  • goal Harold Preciado 38'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 49'

Form Data

Toluca 3 - 2 Pachuca
Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca
Toluca 5 - 2 Necaxa
America 3 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro
Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca
Santos Laguna 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis
Tigres 3 - 0 Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna 2 - 1 Club Leon
Monterrey 4 - 2 Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Atlas
Santos Laguna 0 - 1 Cruz Azul