Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Mar 16, 2025 at 3.05am UK

Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 3
America

Durdevic (65', 65')
Rocha (49'), Rocha (49'), Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz (73'), Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz (73'), Nervo (90+11'), Coccaro (90+5'), Nervo (90+11'), Coccaro (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguirre (47', 47', 74', 74'), Calderon (50', 50')
Juarez (15'), Juarez (15')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 3-4 Atlas
Monday, March 10 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Club America

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: America 4-0 Guadalajara
Thursday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Atlas	Draw	Club America
27.15% ( -0.23)	25.03% ( -0.01)	47.82% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

-0.13)

49.23% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

-0.12)

71.29% (

0.12)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

-0.24)

32.42% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

-0.28)

68.94% (

0.27)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

0.05)

20.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.83% (

0.08)

53.17% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Atlas 27.15%

Club America 47.82%

Draw 25.02%

Atlas	Draw	Club America
1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.15%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.82%