Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Mar 29, 2025 at 3.10am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
3 - 2
Atlas

Benedetti (27', 27'), Amarilla (31', 31'), Rodriguez (61', 61')
Merolla (40'), Merolla (40'), Duarte (90+7'), Fernando Moreno Villegas (90+5'), Duarte (90+7'), Fernando Moreno Villegas (90+5')
FT(HT: 4-4)
Aguirre (18', 18'), Durdevic (36' pen., 36' pen.)
Rios (26'), Rios (26'), Eduardo Serrato Zambrano (45+1'), Eduardo Serrato Zambrano (45+1'), Dominguez (58'), Dominguez (58')
Garcia (52'), Garcia (52')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, March 15 at 1am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 1-3 America
Sunday, March 16 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawAtlas
39.24% (0.0039999999999978 0)27.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 50.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.28% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.82% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)67.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 39.23%
    Atlas 33.65%
    Draw 27.1%
MazatlanDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.65%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 2am
Gameweek 12
Atlas
0-0
Mazatlan
Doria (19'), Reyes (88')
Meraz (21'), Gonzalez (45+1'), Joel Barcenas (69')
Feb 10, 2024 1am
Gameweek 6
Mazatlan
2-0
Atlas
Montano (64'), Rubio (88')
Diaz (75'), Rubio (90+5')

Nervo (46'), Lozano (66')
Santamaria (51')
Oct 21, 2023 2am
Gameweek 13
Atlas
1-3
Mazatlan
Zapata (22')
Rocha (54'), Nervo (66')
Rocha (90+1')
Loba (12', 32'), Maduena (90+7')
Alvarado (64'), Gonzalez (88'), Diaz (90+5')
Jan 13, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 2
Atlas
2-1
Mazatlan
Sep 8, 2022 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Benedetti (32')