Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 1
Mazatlan

Kennedy (56', 56')
Luna (75'), Luna (75'), Kennedy (89'), Kennedy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernando Moreno Villegas (50', 50')
Colula (26'), Colula (26'), Gonzalez (45+7'), Gonzalez (45+7'), Intriago (79'), Intriago (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Pachuca
Saturday, March 1 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, March 1 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawMazatlan
55.94% (0.223 0.22)24.59% (0.169 0.17)19.47% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-1.1 -1.1)54.62% (1.098 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (-0.921 -0.92)75.96% (0.92 0.92)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)19.44% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.555 -0.56)51.29% (0.552 0.55)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (-1.075 -1.08)42.62% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (-0.93 -0.93)78.96% (0.929 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 55.94%
    Mazatlan 19.47%
    Draw 24.58%
PachucaDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.47%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3am
Gameweek 5
Mazatlan
3-0
Pachuca
Sanchez (26'), Rubio (31'), Colman (45+7')
Camacho (90+1')

Rodriguez (10'), Deossa (22'), Barreto (28')
Rondon (42'), Cabral (43')
Aug 24, 2024 3am
Gameweek 5
Mazatlan
3-0
Pachuca
Sanchez (26'), Rubio (31'), Colman (45+7')
Camacho (90+1')

Rodriguez (10'), Deossa (22'), Barreto (28')
Rondon (42'), Cabral (43')
Apr 28, 2024 2.10am
Gameweek 17
Pachuca
1-1
Mazatlan
Idrissi (67')
Pedraza (45+1')
Almada (83')
Rubio (87')
Jul 1, 2023 2am
Gameweek 1
Mazatlan
1-1
Pachuca
Bello (62')
Colula (64'), Flores (82'), Almada (88')
Di Yorio (45+3')
Rodriguez (3'), Castillo (41')
Feb 17, 2023 3am