Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.