Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Mar 15, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 0
Mazatlan

Bogarin (23')
Venegas (4'), Bogarin (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Intriago (18'), Lainez (32'), Almada (45'), Benedetti (90+3'), Benedetti (90+6')
Lainez (59')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Queretaro
Saturday, March 8 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, March 9 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Mazatlan
33.51% ( -0.2)	28.82% ( 0.26)	37.67% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.67% (

-0.93)

61.32% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.76% (

-0.7)

81.24% (

0.7)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9% (

-0.63)

34.1% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

-0.68)

70.78% (

0.68)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

-0.51)

31.37% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

-0.59)

67.74% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Queretaro 33.5%

Mazatlan 37.66%

Draw 28.82%

Queretaro	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.5%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.66%