Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 17, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 2
Atlas

Preciado (83', 83')
Preciado (22'), Preciado (22'), Manzanarez (56'), Manzanarez (56'), Escamilla (80'), Escamilla (80'), Gomez (90'), Gomez (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Orrantia (37', 37'), Durdevic (90+2' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Aguirre (5'), Aguirre (5'), Doria (49'), Doria (49'), Aguirre (80'), Aguirre (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-2 Queretaro
Monday, April 14 at 12am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, April 13 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawAtlas
32.6% (2.05 2.05)27.43% (0.948 0.95)39.97% (-2.996 -3)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-2.135 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54% (-3.065 -3.07)56.46% (3.065 3.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54% (-2.533 -2.53)77.46% (2.534 2.53)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (-0.139 -0.14)32.19% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (-0.158 -0.16)68.68% (0.158 0.16)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-2.995 -2.99)27.64% (2.996 3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-4.02 -4.02)63.18% (4.021 4.02)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 32.6%
    Atlas 39.97%
    Draw 27.42%
QueretaroDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 10.08% (1.094 1.09)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.602 0.6)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.22 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.6%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.999 1)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.289 -0.29)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.477 -0.48)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.391 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.542 -0.54)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.253 -0.25)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.97%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2am
Gameweek 9
Atlas
0-1
Queretaro

Durdevic (86')
Lertora (4')
Mendoza (42'), Sosa (67'), Allison (89')
Apr 1, 2024 12am
Gameweek 13
Atlas
2-3
Queretaro
Murillo (4'), Reyes (33')
Santamaria (53'), Solari (72'), Larios (74')
Santamaria (67')
Sosa (30'), Barrera (70' pen.), Ayon (90+3')
Sosa (41'), Barbieri (72')
Aug 31, 2023 2.06am
Gameweek 5
Queretaro
1-2
Atlas
Gularte (81')
Lertora (16'), Gularte (36'), Sierra (84'), Gomez (90+7')
Mendoza (62')
Solari (45+8'), Zapata (90+1')
Caicedo (4'), Rocha (31')
Jan 22, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 3
Queretaro
3-3
Atlas
Lopez (38'), Sepulveda (45+9' pen.), Ayon (90+9')
Furch (22'), Quinones (42'), Trejo (68')
Aug 5, 2022 3am
Gameweek 7
Atlas
3-1
Queretaro
Herrera (69')
Vargas (66')
Nervo (33')

Barbona (53'), Mendoza (55'), Enrique Angulo (77')
Mendoza (60')
rhs 2.0


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