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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Birmingham

Bellingham (17'), Sanderson (57' og.), Aouchiche (76')
Roberts (39'), Hume (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miyoshi (30')
Laird (18'), James (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
54.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.11 -0.11)43.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.107 -0.11)66.3% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.09% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)45.48% (0.101 0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)33.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 54.32%
    Birmingham City 22.78%
    Draw 22.9%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Birmingham City
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Sunderland
2-1
Birmingham
Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Hall (29')
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
Birmingham
1-2
Sunderland
Simms (25'), Diallo (49')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Fritz
Rublev
4 3
6 6
Result
Auger-Aliassime
Lehecka
3
3

(ret.)
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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