Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 2
Rennes

David (84', 90+2')
Bentaleb (21'), Andre (26'), Yoro (53'), Gomes (80'), Dago (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Blas (1'), Kalimuendo (20')
Truffert (9'), Blas (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-3 Lille
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille - alongside leading marksman David - are beginning to hit their stride at a crucial stage of the campaign, so Les Dogues should be confident of collecting three points this weekend. Rennes face a daunting trip to Decathlon Arena as they strive to bounce back from the derby defeat to Lorient last weekend, and we feel that Stephan's men will be unable to earn a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Rennes
55.99% ( -0.73)	23.48% ( 0.21)	20.53% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

-0.2)

49.05% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.18)

71.13% (

0.18)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-0.33)

17.34% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27% (

-0.59)

47.73% (

0.59)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.74% (

0.43)

38.26% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.98% (

0.41)

75.02% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Lille 55.98%

Rennes 20.53%

Draw 23.47%

Lille	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.98%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.53%