Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 2
Southampton

Piroe (21')
Gnonto (33'), Firpo (72'), Gruev (80'), Piroe (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Armstrong (18'), Smallbone (35')
Manning (33'), Bednarek (44'), Gruev (86'), Rothwell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Southampton

Regardless of whether automatic promotion is achievable or not, Leeds need to treat this fixture as a normal game in a bid to rediscover some form. Southampton have been poor themselves, yet we feel the Saints will do enough to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 20.38% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Southampton
59.64% ( 0.91)	19.98% ( 0.1)	20.38% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 62.9% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.69% (

-1.98)

33.31% (

1.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.92% (

-2.3)

55.08% (

2.3)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.01% (

-0.37)

10.99% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.74% (

-0.82)

35.26% (

0.83)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-2.04)

29.33% (

2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69% (

-2.58)

65.31% (

2.58)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 59.64%

Southampton 20.38%

Draw 19.98%

Leeds United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.09% Total : 59.64%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.98%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 20.38%