MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 02:06:26| >> :120:68812:68812:
[monks data]
Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leeds logo

Southampton
1 - 0
Leeds

Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')

Preview: Southampton vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leeds United will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in the Premier League when they head to St Mary's on Saturday afternoon to take on Southampton.

The Whites are currently 16th in the table, having picked up six points from their opening seven matches, while Southampton occupy 17th, two points behind their opponents in this game.


Match preview

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Southampton are still waiting for their first victory of the 2021-22 Premier League season, but that does not tell the whole story, with the Saints putting in some impressive performances this term.

A record of four draws and three defeats from seven matches has seen Ralph Hasenhuttl's side collect four points, holding Manchester United, Newcastle United, West Ham United and Manchester City, but they have lost their last two against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Chelsea.

Southampton's position of 17th is far from ideal, but there is a lot of football to be played this season, and Hasenhuttl will have been encouraged by certain aspects of his team's early-season performances.

The Saints have actually lost their last three games against Leeds in all competitions, though, including both Premier League meetings between the two teams last term, and they have not overcome the Whites on home soil since August 2011 in the second tier of English football.

The Hampshire-based side will view their next two matches against Leeds and Burnley as the perfect chance to put some points on the board, while they will then end the month with a clash against Watford.

Leeds United's Kalvin Phillips celebrates after the match against Watford on October 2, 2021© Reuters

Leeds, meanwhile, finally picked up their first Premier League win of the season before the international break, with Diego Llorente's first-half effort seeing them record a 1-0 victory over Watford at Elland Road.

The Whites have won one, drawn three and lost three of their first seven matches of the campaign to collect six points, which has left them in 16th position in the table ahead of the next set of fixtures.

It is not quite the start that Leeds would have had in mind considering their success last term, but they now have a run of winnable matches, facing Southampton, Wolves and Norwich City in their next three.

Marcelo Bielsa's side scored five unanswered goals against the Saints in their two Premier League matches last term, including a 2-0 victory at St Mary's, where Patrick Bamford and Tyler Roberts were on the scoresheet.

Leeds won 10 away games in the Premier League last term, meanwhile, and will certainly believe that their free-flowing football can cause Southampton problems once again, but there has also been a lot of space for teams to operate in against the Whites this term, suggesting that this should be an entertaining contest.

Southampton Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Southampton form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Leeds United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Leeds United attacker Raphinha pictured on July 31, 2021© Reuters

Southampton boss Hasenhuttl has revealed that Che Adams will be absent this weekend due to the muscular problem that the forward picked up while representing Scotland over the international break.

Jack Stephens also remains sidelined with a knee injury, while James Ward-Prowse will miss out through suspension, which should see Ibrahima Diallo feature in the middle of the park.

Nathan Redmond is again expected to start through the middle alongside Adam Armstrong, but there could be a change in a wide area, with Nathan Tella potentially being replaced by Mohamed Elyounoussi.

As for Leeds, Bielsa has admitted that Raphinha is a major doubt due to his expected involvement for Brazil against Uruguay, while Bamford has again been ruled out with an ankle problem.

Kalvin Phillips should be available despite a calf issue, while Adam Forshaw and Crysencio Summerville are fit, but Robin Koch and Luke Ayling remain on the sidelines for the Whites.

Rodrigo is again expected to lead the line for Bielsa's team, while Jack Harrison is in line to feature in a wide area if Raphinha is not risked from the start at St Mary's.

There had also been a slight concern over the availability of Stuart Dallas, but the midfielder has been passed fit and will feature for the visitors on Saturday afternoon.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Livramento, Bednarek, Salisu, Walker-Peters; Walcott, Romeu, Diallo, Elyounoussi; Armstrong, Redmond

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Shackleton, Llorente, Cooper, Firpo; Phillips; James, Dallas, Klich, Harrison; Rodrigo


SM words green background

We say: Southampton 2-2 Leeds United

This has all of the makings of a very open game of football, and we are predicting goals on Saturday. Southampton will be desperate to record their first league win of the campaign, but we cannot see the Saints overcoming Leeds, who put a very important three points on the board before the international break.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:467271:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11683:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Southampton vs Leeds

Southampton
34.4%
Draw
31.6%
Leeds United
34.0%
209
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Patrick Bamford pictured for Leeds United on August 21, 2021
Read Next:
Leeds United missing four players for Watford clash
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!