La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 4
Osasuna

Morata (55')
Paulista (35'), De Paul (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (26', 64'), Oroz (52'), Torro (88')
Catena (59'), Munoz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 0-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 15 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca
Tuesday, May 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Osasuna

It is 10 years since Osasuna last beat Atletico in La Liga, and we are expecting a 12th straight success for the capital outfit in this fixture. Simeone's side have been so strong at home this season, and it is difficult to see anything other than a routine success for the Red and Whites on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 14.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
66.19% ( -0.02)	19.8% ( 0.36)	14.01% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-2.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-2.36)

44.22% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-2.34)

66.6% (

2.34)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

-0.7)

12.49% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.54% (

-1.48)

38.46% (

1.48)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64% (

-1.96)

43.36% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.4% (

-1.69)

79.59% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 66.18%

Osasuna 14.01%

Draw 19.8%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.56) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.2% Total : 66.18%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.8%	0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.01%