/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpanlog.png)
-
Raul Jimenez
8'
-
Raul Jimenez
8'
-
Raul Jimenez
8'
-
Raul Jimenez
90'+2'
-
Raul Jimenez
90'+2'
-
Raul Jimenez
90'+2'
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Adalberto Carrasquilla
33'
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Adalberto Carrasquilla
33'
-
Adalberto Carrasquilla
33'
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Adalberto Carrasquilla
45'+2'
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Adalberto Carrasquilla
45'+2'
-
Adalberto Carrasquilla
45'+2'
Mexico vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
Result
Mexico
60.99%
▼
(-0.71)
Draw
22.04%
▲
(+0.24)
Panama
16.97%
▲
(+0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
49.3%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.82%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
48.18%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
29.66%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
70.34%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
14.44%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
85.56%
▲
(+0.11)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
84.68%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
15.32%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
55.93%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
44.07%
▲
(+0.53)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5
58.22%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 0.5
41.78%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
21.76%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
78.24%
▼
(-0.44)
Score analysis
Mexico
60.98%
Draw
22.04%
Panama
16.97%
Mexico
1-0
@
12%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 60.98%
2-0 @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 60.98%
Draw
1-1
@
10.48%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.04%
0-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.04%
Panama
0-1
@
5.59%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.97%
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.97%