CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 16, 2024 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Francisco Morazan
  • Luis Palma 64' goal
  • Luis Palma 64' goal
  • Luis Palma 83' goal
  • Luis Palma 83' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 18'
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 18'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 73'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 73'
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 90'
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 90'

Honduras vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Mexico

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result

Honduras 43.34% (+0.20)
Draw 26.03% (-0.06)
Mexico 30.63% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.44% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 51.55% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 26.65% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 73.35% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 12.42% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 87.58% (-0.10)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5 76.36% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 23.64% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 42.26% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 57.74% (-0.25)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.06% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.37% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Honduras 43.33%
Draw 26.03%
Mexico 30.63%
Honduras
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.93% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.29% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 43.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.03%
Mexico
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.63%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
ET Estadio Azteca
  • Edson Alvarez 10' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 10' yellowcard
  • Luis Chavez 43' goal
  • Luis Chavez 43' goal
  • Luis Chavez 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Chavez 51' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 68' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sanchez 92' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sanchez 92' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 90'+11' goal
  • Edson Alvarez 90'+11' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 117' yellowcard
  • Luis Romo 130' yellowcard
  • Luis Romo 130' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 42'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 42'
  • yellowcard Anthony Lozano 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 68'
  • yellowcard Edrick Eduardo Menjivar Jonhnson 86'
  • yellowcard Edrick Menjivar 86'
  • yellowcard Alberth Elis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alberth Elis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 94'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 94'
  • redcard Enrique Facusse 90'+13'
  • redcard Enrique Facusse 90'+13'
  • redcard Denil Maldonado 115'
  • redcard Denil Maldonado 115'
  • yellowcard Edrick Eduardo Menjivar Jonhnson 129'
CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 18, 2023 2.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
  • Anthony Lozano 30' goal
  • Anthony Lozano 30' goal
  • Rigoberto Rivas 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rigoberto Rivas 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 52' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 52' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lozano 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lozano 58' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 72' goal
  • Bryan Rochez 72' goal
  • Alberth Elis 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 41'
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 41'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Luis Malagon 90'+7'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT NRG Stadium
  • Luis Romo 1' goal
  • Luis Romo 1' goal
  • Luis Romo 23' goal
  • Luis Romo 23' goal
  • Orbelin Pineda 52' goal
  • Orbelin Pineda 52' goal
  • Luis Chavez 64' goal
  • Luis Chavez 64' goal
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kervin Arriaga 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 28'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Arteaga 65'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 70'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 11, 2021 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cesar Montes 12' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cordova 18' goal
  • Rogelio Funes Mori 76' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Antonio Pereira Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Danilo Acosta 45'+2'
  • redcard Maynor Figueroa 49'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 25, 2021 3.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Rogelio Funes Mori 26' goal
  • Jonathan dos Santos 31' goal
  • Orbelin Pineda 38' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 35'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 58'
  • yellowcard Boniek Garcia 60'
  • yellowcard Roger Fabricio Rojas Lazo 89'