/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
-
Moise Bombito
18'
-
Moise Bombito
18'
-
Alphonso Davies
22'
-
Alphonso Davies
22'
-
Alistair Johnston
33'
-
Alistair Johnston
33'
-
Raul Jimenez
1'
-
Raul Jimenez
1'
-
Alexis Vega
27'
-
Alexis Vega
27'
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Johan Vasquez
43'
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Johan Vasquez
43'
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Israel Reyes
71'
-
Israel Reyes
71'
-
Raul Jimenez
75'
-
Raul Jimenez
75'
Canada vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result
Canada
46.35%
▲
(+0.45)
Draw
24.91%
▲
(+0.15)
Mexico
28.73%
▼
(-0.59)
Both Teams to Score:
55.19%
▼
(-0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.25%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 2.5
47.74%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 3.5
30.06%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 3.5
69.93%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 4.5
14.72%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 4.5
85.28%
▲
(+0.62)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
79.35%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
20.64%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
46.78%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
53.21%
▲
(+0.32)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
69.54%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 0.5
30.45%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 1.5
33.34%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 1.5
66.66%
▲
(+1.10)
Score analysis
Canada
46.35%
Draw
24.91%
Mexico
28.73%
Canada
1-0
@
9.92%
▲
(+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.35%
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.35%
Draw
1-1
@
11.79%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.91%
0-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.91%
Mexico
0-1
@
7.48%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.73%
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.73%