CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Nov 15, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion

Suriname
0 - 1
Canada

(Canada win 4-0 on aggregate)

Pinas (34'), Abena (37'), Pherai (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoilett (82')
Johnston (48'), Waterman (54'), Osorio (90+4'), Choiniere (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Suriname and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 5-1 Guyana
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Canada

All competitions

Last Game: Canada 2-1 Panama
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Suriname	Draw	Canada
56.08% ( -0.04)	22.78% ( 0.01)	21.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.72% (

-0.02)

45.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.38% (

-0.02)

67.63% (

0.02)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04% (

-0.02)

15.97% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74% (

-0.03)

45.27% (

0.04)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51% (

0.02)

35.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

0.02)

72.26% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Suriname 56.07%

Canada 21.15%

Draw 22.78%

Suriname	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 56.07%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.15%