CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 5, 2024 at 9pm UK

Synthetic Track and Field Facility

Guyana
1 - 3
Suriname

Glasgow (43' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

van der Kust (18'), Montnor (66'), Misidjan (83')
Montnor (79'), Montnor (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guyana and Suriname, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guyana

All competitions

Last Game: Guyana 3-1 Belize
Tuesday, June 11 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Suriname

All competitions

Last Game: Anguilla 0-4 Suriname
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Guyana win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
Guyana	Draw	Suriname
28.59% ( -1.72)	24.02% ( -0.13)	47.38% ( 1.86)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-0.38)

43.89% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-0.38)

66.28% (

0.37)

Guyana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

-1.37)

28.58% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

-1.74)

64.38% (

1.74)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

0.61)

18.67% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.99% (

1.01)

50% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Guyana 28.59%

Suriname 47.38%

Draw 24.01%

Guyana	Draw	Suriname
2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.38%