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World Cup

Anguilla national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 8, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Raymond E. Guishard Technical Centre
Suriname national football team

Anguilla
0 - 4
Suriname


Lake-Bryan (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conraad (10', 75'), Pinas (62'), Austin (87' og.)
Denswil (43'), Lonwijk (55')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Anguilla and Suriname.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anguilla

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Turks & Caicos 1-1 Anguilla (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Suriname

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Suriname 4-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Wednesday, June 5 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 70.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for an Anguilla win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
AnguillaDrawSuriname
11.21% (1.142 1.14)18.65% (1.413 1.41)70.13% (-2.555 -2.55)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-3.057 -3.06)45.92% (3.056 3.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-2.964 -2.96)68.23% (2.962 2.96)
Anguilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.99% (0.208 0.21)49% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.04% (0.151 0.15)83.95% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.11% (-1.519 -1.52)11.88% (1.518 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.8% (-3.336 -3.34)37.19% (3.334 3.33)
Score Analysis
    Anguilla 11.21%
    Suriname 70.13%
    Draw 18.65%
AnguillaDrawSuriname
1-0 @ 4.15% (0.537 0.54)
2-1 @ 3.16% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 1.48% (0.199 0.2)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 11.21%
1-1 @ 8.85% (0.65 0.65)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.722 0.72)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.65%
0-2 @ 13.21% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 12.4% (0.84 0.84)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 9.38% (-0.523 -0.52)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-4 @ 5% (-0.617 -0.62)
1-4 @ 3.56% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.416 -0.42)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.13%