Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.