Anguilla national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Raymond E. Guishard Technical Centre

Anguilla
0 - 3
Bonaire


Francis (15'), Lee (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Anthony (2', 6' pen.), F (73')
Serberie (76'), D (82')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Anguilla and Bonaire.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anguilla

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 8-0 Anguilla
Monday, October 16 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bonaire

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bonaire 2-0 Anguilla
Friday, October 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.

Result
AnguillaDrawBonaire
16.74% (-1.142 -1.14)17.65% (-0.791 -0.79)65.62% (1.935 1.94)
Both teams to score 64.73% (0.648 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.03% (1.836 1.84)27.96% (-1.833 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.3% (2.252 2.25)48.7% (-2.25 -2.25)
Anguilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.61%
Bonaire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.92% (0.917 0.92)8.07% (-0.915 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.6% (2.255 2.26)28.39% (-2.252 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Anguilla 16.74%
    Bonaire 65.62%
    Draw 17.65%
AnguillaDrawBonaire
2-1 @ 4.46% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-0 @ 2.91% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 7.32% (-0.482 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.39% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 17.65%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 7.73% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-3 @ 6.34% (0.146 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-4 @ 4.86% (0.315 0.32)
2-3 @ 4.71% (0.109 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.99% (0.259 0.26)
2-4 @ 2.96% (0.191 0.19)
1-5 @ 2.45% (0.256 0.26)
0-5 @ 2.01% (0.21 0.21)
2-5 @ 1.49% (0.156 0.16)
3-4 @ 1.2% (0.078 0.08)
1-6 @ 1.03% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 65.62%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 12am
League C
Bonaire
2-0
Anguilla
Ronde (10'), Pourier (36')
Anita (47'), Oleana (71'), Frans (80')

Hodge (17'), Lake-Bryan (86')