Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Martin would win this match.