CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Oct 16, 2023 at 9pm UK
 
Anguilla national football team

Saint Martin
8 - 0
Anguilla

Segarel (17', 32' pen., 39', 47'), Richardson (48'), Raga Rigobert (65', 70', 89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Connor (54')
Paris (56')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Martin and Anguilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 2-1 Bonaire
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Anguilla

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bonaire 2-0 Anguilla
Friday, October 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Martin would win this match.

Result
Saint MartinDrawAnguilla
52.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)23.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)23.98% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)47.3% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)69.52% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)18.15% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)49.12% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Anguilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.024000000000001 0.02)34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.026 0.03)70.68% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Saint Martin 52.06%
    Anguilla 23.98%
    Draw 23.96%
Saint MartinDrawAnguilla
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 52.06%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 23.98%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 9pm
League C
Anguilla
0-6
Saint Martin

Tyrique Candal Francis (59'), Mcdonald-Baptise (79'), Connor (88')
Raga Rigobert (6', 32', 39', 40'), Segarel (25'), Lacazette (70')
Zonzon (28'), Chance (82')