CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Nov 20, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Mexico
4 - 0
Honduras

Jimenez (42', 42'), Martin (72', 72', 90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.), Sanchez (85', 85')
Montes (22'), Montes (22'), Rodriguez (27'), Rodriguez (27'), Jimenez (58'), Jimenez (58'), Malagon (90+2'), Malagon (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Najar (45+2'), Najar (45+2'), Rosales (54'), Rosales (54'), Castillo (90+2'), Rodriguez (90+3'), Castillo (90+2'), Maldonado (90+3'), Rodriguez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	3	5	9
2	Ecuador	3	1	4
3	Mexico	3	0	4
4	Jamaica	3	-6	0

Honduras

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Honduras
45.76% ( -0.08)	26.62% ( -0.02)	27.61% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

0.11)

55.27% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

0.09)

76.5% (

-0.1)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

0.01)

24.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

0.02)

58.39% (

-0.02)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73% (

0.13)

35.27% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97% (

0.14)

72.02% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Mexico 45.76%

Honduras 27.61%

Draw 26.62%

Mexico	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.76%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.61%