CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 20, 2024 2.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Cesar Montes 22' yellowcard
  • Cesar Montes 22' yellowcard
  • Carlos Rodriguez 27' yellowcard
  • Carlos Rodriguez 27' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 42' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 42' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 58' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 58' yellowcard
  • Henry Martin 72' goal
  • Henry Martin 72' goal
  • Jorge Sanchez 85' goal
  • Jorge Sanchez 85' goal
  • Luis Malagon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luis Malagon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Henry Martin 90'+7' goal
  • Henry Martin 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Najar 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Andy Najar 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 54'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 54'
  • yellowcard Rubilio Castillo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rubilio Castillo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 90'+5'

Mexico vs Honduras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 2.00am
Honduras 2 - 0 Mexico

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 2.00am
Honduras 2 - 0 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result

Mexico 45.76% (-0.08)
Draw 26.62% (-0.02)
Honduras 27.61% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.13% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.72% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 55.27% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 23.5% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 76.5% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 10.42% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.58% (-0.07)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 75.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.61% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.39% (-0.03)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5 64.73% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 35.27% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 27.97% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 72.02% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Mexico 45.76%
Draw 26.62%
Honduras 27.61%
Mexico
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 45.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.62%
Honduras
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.57% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.61%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 16, 2024 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Francisco Morazan
  • Luis Palma 64' goal
  • Luis Palma 64' goal
  • Luis Palma 83' goal
  • Luis Palma 83' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 18'
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 18'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 73'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 73'
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 90'
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 90'
CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
ET Estadio Azteca
  • Edson Alvarez 10' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 10' yellowcard
  • Luis Chavez 43' goal
  • Luis Chavez 43' goal
  • Luis Chavez 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Chavez 51' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 68' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sanchez 92' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sanchez 92' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 90'+11' goal
  • Edson Alvarez 90'+11' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 117' yellowcard
  • Luis Romo 130' yellowcard
  • Luis Romo 130' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 42'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 42'
  • yellowcard Anthony Lozano 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 68'
  • yellowcard Edrick Eduardo Menjivar Jonhnson 86'
  • yellowcard Edrick Menjivar 86'
  • yellowcard Alberth Elis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alberth Elis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 94'
  • yellowcard Denil Maldonado 94'
  • redcard Enrique Facusse 90'+13'
  • redcard Enrique Facusse 90'+13'
  • redcard Denil Maldonado 115'
  • redcard Denil Maldonado 115'
  • yellowcard Edrick Eduardo Menjivar Jonhnson 129'
CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 18, 2023 2.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
  • Anthony Lozano 30' goal
  • Anthony Lozano 30' goal
  • Rigoberto Rivas 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rigoberto Rivas 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 52' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 52' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lozano 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lozano 58' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 72' goal
  • Bryan Rochez 72' goal
  • Alberth Elis 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 41'
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 41'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Luis Malagon 90'+7'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT NRG Stadium
  • Luis Romo 1' goal
  • Luis Romo 1' goal
  • Luis Romo 23' goal
  • Luis Romo 23' goal
  • Orbelin Pineda 52' goal
  • Orbelin Pineda 52' goal
  • Luis Chavez 64' goal
  • Luis Chavez 64' goal
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kervin Arriaga 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 28'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Arteaga 65'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 70'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 11, 2021 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cesar Montes 12' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cordova 18' goal
  • Rogelio Funes Mori 76' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Antonio Pereira Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Danilo Acosta 45'+2'
  • redcard Maynor Figueroa 49'