Brasileiro | Gameweek 2

Apr 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
2 - 2
Bahia

Thaciano (50', 50'), Pituca (81', 81')
Schmidt (40'), Schmidt (40'), Gil (56'), Gil (56'), Soteldo (70'), Soteldo (70'), Pituca (82'), Pituca (82'), Pedro Chermont Crema (90+7'), Pedro Chermont Crema (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Erick (17', 17'), Luciano (90', 90')
Alexandre (51'), Alexandre (51'), Erick (87'), Erick (87')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Santos
Sunday, March 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Bahia

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Bahia
48% ( 0.25)	26.16% ( -0.15)	25.84% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

0.52)

54.59% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.06% (

0.43)

75.93% (

-0.43)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

0.33)

22.76% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

0.49)

56.44% (

-0.49)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63% (

0.2)

36.37% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84% (

0.2)

73.15% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Santos 48%

Bahia 25.84%

Draw 26.15%

Santos	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.84%